Toronto, January 31st – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1408 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and leaning, Conservative support has risen significantly and now 4 in 10 (43%) say they would support Scheer’s party if an election were held today. Just under 4 in 10 (38%) say they would support Trudeau’s Liberals.
Support for Scheer’s Conservatives rises
Toronto, January 31st – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1408 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and leaning, Conservative support has risen significantly and now 4 in 10 (43%) say they would support Scheer’s party if an election were held today. Just under 4 in 10 (38%) say they would support Trudeau’s Liberals.
Conservative support (43%) is up four points over December (Dec 15: 39%).
Liberal support (38%) is unchanged since December (Dec 15: 38%). Support for the NDP is just over 1 in 10 (12%) and, like the Liberals, hasn’t changed at all since December (Dec 15: 12%). Few say they would support the Green (3%), which is almost half what their support was in December (Dec 15: 5%), the Bloc sees a similar decline (3%) (Dec 15: 6%). Almost no one says they would support another party (0%).
Respondents most likely to say they support the Conservatives include those aged 35-44 (47%), 45-54 (48%), males (51%), the most wealthy (53%), living in Alberta (68%), with a college/university degree (47%). Respondents most likely to say they support the Liberals include those aged 55-64 (42%) or 65+ (43%), females (46%), the least wealthy (50%), living in Québec (46%), and amongst the least educated (39%), some college/university (40%), and with a post-graduate degree (42%). Respondents most likely to say they support the NDP include the least wealthy (18%), with an income of $60,000-$80,000 (15%), and living in Québec (14%) or BC (17%).
Conservative majority
If an election were held on the date of this poll, we would expect to see a Conservative majority of 181 seats, with the Liberals serving as official opposition with 142. The NDP would secure 14 and the Green Party would hold their seat. The BQ would not win a seat.
Read more at: http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2826/federal-horserace-january-2018/
Read more at: http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2826/federal-horserace-january-2018/
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